Identifying the key factors affecting the expansion of informal settlements by structural analysis method (case study: Shahr Khoy)

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Associate professor in geography and urban planning

2 university of tabriz

3 Associate Professor, Faculty of Planning and Environmental Sciences

4 Assistant Professor, Department of Geography and Urban Planning, University of Tabriz

Abstract

Today, the speed of urban development has exceeded the capacity and ability of governments to expand infrastructure and provide services and create employment, as a result, the phenomenon of informal settlement has spread rapidly and irregularly. Statistics show that a population of metropolises and even many medium-sized cities have settled in disorderly habitats and on the outskirts of cities, which constitute the poorest groups of the urban population, this shows the necessity of efforts to create better conditions in these settlements. . Today, one of the new ways to analyze the current and upcoming challenges is to use the foresight approach and look at the present from the future. Due to the rapid growth of the population and migration during the past decades, the city of Khoy has not been able to provide suitable conditions for the settlement of a part of the population. For this reason, the population that moved to the city of Khoy was forced to live on the outskirts of the city and created a phenomenon called informal settlements. This research was written with the aim of identifying the influencing factors on the expansion of informal settlements in Khoy city. For this purpose, the Delphi method was used to identify the influential factors, and the result was the identification of 72 factors in 6 different areas, then the mutual effects analysis method was used to extract the key influential factors, and as a result, out of the total of 72 factors, 26 Factors were identified as key factors.

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Full Text

امروزه سرعت توسعه شهری از ظرفیت و توانایی دولت‌ها در گسترش زیرساخت‌ها و ارائه خدمات و ایجاد اشتغال پیشی گرفته است، در نتیجه پدیده اسکان غیررسمی به سرعت و به صورتی بی‌قاعده گسترش یافته است. آمارها حکایت از آن دارند که جمعیتی از کلان‌شهرها و حتی بسیاری از شهرهای متوسط اندام در زیستگاه‌های نابسامان و در حاشیه شهرها اسکان گرفته‌اند که جایگاه فقیرترین گروه‌های جمعیت شهری را تشکیل داده‌اند، این امر ضرورت تلاش در جهت ایجاد شرایط بهتر در این سکونتگاه‌ها را نمایان می‌سازد. امروزه یکی از شیوه‌های نوین برای واکاوی چالش‌های فعلی و پیش رو، بهره‌گیری از رویکرد آینده‌نگاری و نگاه به حال از آینده است. شهر خوی به دلیل رشد سریع جمعیت و مهاجرت طی دهه‌های گذشته، نتوانسته شرایط مناسب برای سکونت بخشی از جمعیت را فراهم آورد. به همین دلیل جمعیتی که به شهر خوی روی آورده مجبور به سکونت در حاشیه شهر شده و پدیده‌ای به نام سکونتگاه‌های غیررسمی را به وجود آورده است. هدف از این تحقیق، شناسایی عوامل تأثیرگذار بر روند گسترش سکونتگاه‌های غیررسمی در شهر خوی است. بدین منظور روش دلفی جهت شناسایی عوامل تأثیرگذار به کار گرفته شد که نتیجه آن شناسایی 72 عامل در 6 حوزه مختلف بود، سپس روش تحلیل اثرات متقابل جهت استخراج عوامل کلیدی تأثیرگذار به کار گرفته شد که در نتیجه آن از مجموع 72 عامل، تعداد 26 عامل به عنوان عوامل کلیدی شناسایی شدند.

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